AI HUM TCH SCI LU Lukasz Szubelak · LS Analytics Parallel Trends: The Critical Assumption Behind Causal Impact Studies Difference-in-Differences (DiD) is a widely used technique to estimate causal effects when randomized experiments are not feasible. From…
AI SCI LU Lukasz Szubelak · LS Analytics Beyond Correlation: A Practical Guide to the Backdoor Criterion in Python Estimating the effect of one variable on another is at the core of causal inference. However, doing this with observational data can be…
AI MDA ECO MKT TCH SCI LU Lukasz Szubelak · LS Analytics Causal Inference Made Practical: Unlocking Business Insights with the DoWhy Library Every analyst stared at a dashboard showing a seemingly clear pattern many times. Premium customers churn more, marketing campaigns…
AI MKT SCI LU Lukasz Szubelak · LS Analytics Did It Really Work? The Hidden Dangers of Pre/Post Analysis The most important question in almost any organisation is also the most difficult one: Did something work?
ECO SPT AI SCI DSN LU Lukasz Szubelak · LS Analytics Saudi Arabia’s Football Gamble: Can Spending Alone Build a Global League? On 22 January 2023, Cristiano Ronaldo made his first official appearance for Al-Nasr against Al-Ettifaq. It seemed like just another match…
ECO HUM AI SCI LU Lukasz Szubelak · LS Analytics Causal Inference in Python: Measuring the Impact of Cheap Mortgages Insights from a synthetic control group
SPT MKT AI SCI DSN LU Lukasz Szubelak · LS Analytics Where European Giants Fall: The Math Behind Bodø/Glimt’s Champions League Run On 20 January 2026, Manchester City arrived at Aspmyra Stadion in Bodo for a Champions League group stage game. They lost 3–1. Three weeks…
AI MKT MDA BIO SCI DSN LU Lukasz Szubelak · LS Analytics Radar Charts: Why They Mislead More Than They Reveal Radar charts are a very popular visualisation tool. Recently, Anthropic released one which went viral and was used to visualise AI…
AI MKT ECO MDA SCI LU Lukasz Szubelak · LS Analytics The Simple Theorem Behind Modern Causal AI Marketing teams often celebrate when dashboards show a clear, positive correlation between sales and advertising activity.
ECO SOC AI SCI DSN LU Lukasz Szubelak · LS Analytics Europe’s Strongest Factory is in Ireland Across Europe, most manufacturing sectors are considered to be at least flat. Industrial production in many of the top European economies…
AI ECO SCI SPT LU Lukasz Szubelak · LS Analytics The BlueCo Dividend: Quantifying the Causal Impact of Chelsea’s Takeover on Strasbourg When BlueCo, the consortium behind Chelsea FC, acquired RC Strasbourg in 2023, it signalled a major shift in the multi-club ownership…