Another Kursk Offensive?

There is something afoot, and we know mostly from Russian channels. There is an offensive from another direction in the Kursk Oblast. I understand that is more successful than Russians want to admit. How? Here is how:

Akhmat commander Apti Alaudinov has already denied responsibility for the fighting area in Kursk.

“The enemy has launched an offensive… The special forces “Akhmat” have never been in this area,” he said.

Whenever there is a real fight, Akhmat is never there. It’s as if this was by magic. If they were there, things would be different, now wouldn’t they? It’s now a predictable pattern. So what is Rybar saying? He is a somewhat more reliable source…and that is a matter of degree:

Kursk direction: intermediate result of the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ dash through Cherkasskaya Konopelka and to Ulanok what is known as of 19:00 on February 6, 2025

The Russian Defense Ministry announced that all attacks by the Ukrainian Armed Forces were repelled and control over the settlements of Ulanok and Cherkasskaya Konopelka was maintained during today’s offensive by the Ukrainian Armed Forces. The enemy did not achieve any particular successes with the former, but there is conflicting information coming from the latter.

▪️Some sources claim that columns of the Ukrainian Armed Forces passed along the northern outskirts of the village from Makhnovka along the Sirovshchina tract and exited onto the asphalt road 38K-028 . According to objective control footage, two armored vehicles were destroyed on the road where the exit from Konopelka towards Ulanok is located.

▪️At the same time, the settlement of Fanaseyevka does not appear in any official reports, although, according to our data, enemy movements were noticed there. Now drones are working there.

🔻The column that moved out in the direction of Russkaya Konopelka never reached the settlement. Several armored fighting vehicles with Romanov’s video were stopped at the intersection southeast of Kolmakov .

Coordinates: 51.173104006697635, 35.35352397674296

▪️Reports of attacks by the Ukrainian Armed Forces on the other flank, in the area of ​​Malaya Loknya in the direction of Kruglenke by the end of the day have not been confirmed; in those areas of the front, heavy but positional battles are taking place with virtually no changes in control zones. ➖➖➖➖➖➖ 📌By now, the enemy personnel have scattered across the area in plantings and buildings in the vicinity of Cherkasskaya Konopelka and Fanaseyevka , the surviving equipment was pulled back to Sudzha and partially withdrawn to the Sumy region . At the same time, it is impossible to rule out the possibility of enemy actions by infantry in isolation from armored vehicles, of which drones on fiber optics have really burned a lot today. ➖➖➖➖➖➖ 📍In addition, according to preliminary data, at the beginning of the offensive, the enemy launched missile airstrikes on certain objects in the near rear of the Russian Armed Forces. However, apparently, the targets intended by the Ukrainian Armed Forces turned out to be false, since they did not affect the repulse of the attack.

❗️It is quite possible that the Ukrainian Armed Forces will make a breakthrough on a completely different section of the state border. As practice has shown, the enemy has enough reserves for sudden or relatively sudden attacks. Moreover, judging by the zoo of equipment in the form of the T-64BV, three different types of IMR and a “hodgepodge” of armored vehicles, at least 80 airborne assault battalions and 82 separate airborne assault battalions, together with attached combined tank groups, participated in this offensive.

So I detect a tad of a panic here, like we did early in the previous invasion. We have no idea yet how successful this is. But the Russian panic tells me they were likely caught by surprise. In the coming days, we should get a better idea of the tactical target. However, if they are going for roads and rails, this is a logistics run.

In the meantime, I will add the refinery bingo card because Russia is quickly losing fuel production capacity. I will add this from Two Majors regarding supply and donkeys. It’s illuminating to the anger the Z Bloggers are having:

There are no questions, only respect, for those combat commanders who strive at any cost to save the lives of soldiers, including with the help of donkeys.

But to the deputy — General Sobolev, who declared… Now it is very difficult to provide units and units, including, therefore, assault detachments and groups, etc., with ammunition, military equipment, and food too. If any methods are used, including donkeys, horses, etc., to deliver ammunition and other property to the front line, then this is normal. This, of course, will not solve the problem. There is nothing wrong here. During the Great Patriotic War, part of our artillery was horse-drawn. She reached Berlin. there is!

How dare the general remember WWII with such recent news? “On the basis of the rulings of the Basmanny District Court, the investigation imposed an arrest on a small Aluma Storm model 577 motor vessel,” says one of the documents in the case. At Avito, the cost of such boats of 2020–2021 release exceeds 5 million rubles.

Among the arrested 23 cars of the ex-minister (DEFENSE❗️) and members of his family — Bentley Continental, Cadillac Escalade and Mercedes-Benz G63 AMG. “RIA Novosti” also writes about 12 motorcycles, including five Harley Davidsons, and one scooter with a stroller. The Deputy General would be ashamed to remember the Great Patriotic War. In the Great Patriotic War, if a man at the front was in trouble, then the big boss in the rear, too, as a rule, did not get fat, but lived in the office and at any moment went to the same man and solved his problems on the spot (we read, for example, the memoirs of the People’s Commissar of Communications Peresypkin).

By the way, about the boats, which are so necessary for the fighters in the Kherson direction. What will Sobolev offer from the animal world to replace them?! The frog princess?!!!

They see the corruption. People are getting insanely rich, to be precise, while the boys are dying. So he is a tad angry. I get it. However, they are getting insanely rich while laughing at the useful idiots in the army, the same who are ordered to charge the lines on crutches. He’d better be careful. We know what happens to critics of the government in Russia. It is not just windows or tea. It is also a lengthy prison term.

That said, we will not know how this offensive will shake out. But if Russians are as exhausted as some of us suspect, there’s a fair chance Ukraine is taking more Russian territory — not that Vladimir Putin will care much. And wasn’t this supposed to be liberated by November? Alaudinov promised to do it.

I guess it will be next November. Putting cynicism aside, if Ukraine succeeds in this second offensive, it will improve her negotiating position. Donald Trump hates losers so that it might help, too. However, the Kyiv Independent is reporting that there is no plan. Okay, like healthcare, is this a concept of a plan?